Muslim Demographics

Census 2011 and the Demographic threat

The New Delhi edition of the Times of India of 22 January 2015 had published a news report of  highly doubtful veracity proclaiming that according to the 2011 Census, the Muslim population in India had grown by merely 24 per cent. It was  further highlighted that the growth rate of Muslim population was lower than the decadal Muslim growth rate of census 2001, though it was  higher than the average national growth rate of 18 per cent  for all communities.

This wonky story, apparently planted and published in Times of India had the trappings of a contrived politico-religious narrative.   Interestingly, the selectively leaked news gave no indication whether or not the figures were arrived at by excluding the census data pertaining to the two States of Assam and Jammu and Kashmir  as was  mischievously done in respect of census  2001 data.

According to the  then Registrar of Census, the actual per cent ages of decadal growth rates of  Hindus and Muslims revealed by the Census 2001 were as follows:

Decadal Growth Rates

Religious Group19912001   
Hindus 23% 

These authentic figures of 2001 census were maliciously manipulated by the  UPA government led by Sonia Gandhi and Dr Manmohan Singh in the year 2004 on the eve of Maharashtra Assembly elections. The intention  was to  bluff the gullible Hindu voters by showing that the per cent age increase in growth of Muslim population was  only marginal and not at the galloping higher growth rate of  36%. The decadal growth rate of Muslims was brought down  from 36 per cent   to 29 per cent  by excluding the population headcount of 3.6 crore Indians living in the two sensitive States, namely, Assam and  Jammu Kashmir, both of which have a very high per cent age of Muslims.

Interestingly, this unparalleled demographic fraud was achieved by deleting with retrospective effect  all census data in respect of Assam and Jammu & Kashmir  with retrospective effect from 1961 onwards. The  clumsy fudging   was allegedly done  at the  instance of the  political  conscience-keeper of Sonia Gandhi with the explicit approval of the then Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh.

The deletion of the big chunk of population in Assam and Jammu and Kashmir was done with retrospective  effect from 1961 onwards, although the authentic headcount of census operations carried in the years 1961, 1971, 198i had already been published and was available in the public domain.

As regards the fast-paced demographic changes in most parts of India, attention may be drawn to a data-packed article written by two eminent demographers, the late Prof. Mari Bhat and A.J. Francis Zavier. The article titled Role of Religion in Fertility Decline – The case of Indian Muslims, was published in the Economic & Political Weekly, Mumbai  dated January, 29, 2005.

At the very beginning of the article  on the mast of the column,  the following  summary had appeared :

“The fertility of Muslims, which was about 10 per cent higher than that of Hindus  before independence, is now 25 to 30 per cent higher than the Hindu rate, and the difference according to religion is larger than the difference between  the forward and depressed Hindu castes and tribes.”

Frankly, the present Registrar General of Census, appointed by the Sonia Gandhi-controlled the United Progressive Alliance regime, has led the Union Home Minister, Rajnath Singh successfully up the garden path.  The master mystery of the  continuing fudged Census 2011 narrative is that even after four years, the Union Home Ministry has not been able to publish the Census 2011 data despite repetitive attempts made by an RTI activist to elicit the religion-wise growth rates of different communities at the all India level as well as in various States.

Everybody Denies, Nobody Refutes Baru

Manmohan Singh

The bottom line is that had the religion-wise  data of Census 2011 been released before the elections to the 2015 Delhi Assembly, the Bharatiya Janta Party would not have suffered the most ignominious defeat at the hands of AAP.  According to an informed source in the  office of the Registrar General of Census, Delhi has witnessed a sharp  upward increase in the percentage of Muslim population vis a vis the Hindus. At the same time, the sharp increase in the percentage of Muslims at all-India level and in certain states like Assam, West Bengal,  Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra etc., would have awakened the Hindus to the reality of  the looming threat of the serious demographic disaster confronting them.

Grim Possibility of BJP Losing Bihar Assembly Elections

Unfortunately it appears to be beyond the comprehension of the BJP that Census data is a key component of the strategy of winning elections.  The UPA government had strategically forestalled the publication of  religion-wise  headcount of Census 2011 before the 2014 general elections.

If only the BJP was able to understand the import of this simple ploy of the Sonia-Manmohan Singh regime it would not have sat on the religion-wise data of Census 2011 for the last 10 months.

It is time that someone awakened the BJP to the well-known adage that ‘demography is the key to every democracy’.  The BJP should be bluntly told that like the National Capital Region of Delhi, Bihar too is a State where the growth rate of Muslims has been rising fast since 1951.  Any further delay in the release of religion-wise Census 2011 data is bound to adversely affect the voting percentage of Hindus in the forthcoming Assembly elections in Bihar.

In any case, the inability to publish the four years old Census 2011 data is a serious aspersion on the BJP Government.

Ram Ohri is a former IPS officer and writes regularly on security issues, demographics, and occasionally, on policy.
  • Electric ego

    Though unrelated to the article, should we not depict full Kashmir as part of India in the chosen image?

  • Pingback: Yakub Memon: What the Media Suppresses | IndiaFactsIndiaFacts()

  • munusamy ganapathy

    The reported figures of the religion data of Census 2011 thus raise several critical concerns. The figures show that:

    (a) the gap between the rate of growth of Muslims and the national average has remained high and unchanged

    The main concern in this census is the alarming decline in 0-6 child sex ratio which corresponds with the rise of sangh parivar across the country. Its a hard fact that more the power to sangh parivar more the female foeticide in that state whether its the hindutva laboratory off gujarat or rajasthan or delhi or haryana ,the recently acquired jewel in the crown.

    Does the author want muslims to perform same amount of female foeticide,detest remarriage of widows,separated women to have a low growth rate like hindus.

    If we take the 0-6 sex ratio of developed countries ,it will be seen that muslims too perform female foeticide but on a lower scale.Strict action against female foeticide resulting in similar sex ratios for all religions will solve all the worries but Its very saddening and irritating that real threats to india,hindus,humanity revealed by the census figures is conveniently ignored as the support core base of sangh parivar are the worst culprits when it comes to female foeticide and nonissues are highlighted as alarming threats

    The growth rate of hindus(especially the vegetarian hindutva fanatic dominated areas of gujarat,haryana,rajasthan) will be better if they dont kill girls in wombs in millions every year,consider wiodw remarriage a sin,make marriage difficult due to idiotic supersitious beleifs in horoscopes delaying or making marriage impossible etc is the naked truth.Can you or any hindutwawalllah refute this sir

    • Michel Pells

      You are a chutia and deserve contempt. Just Fcuk off.

  • munusamy ganapathy

    Dear sir

    please try to answer my queries on why growth rate of muslims and others are higher than hindus. I am trying for an answer from hindutvawallahs since long but just get a stunning silence as a reply.The census figures and state/district wise religion data may let out the figures of how hindus specially the hindutwawallahs and areas dominated by them are the worst in female infanticide resulting in killing of several millions of hindu girls in womb

    My Comments in the article

    The major cause for comparative low growth rate of hindus is female foeticide. quiet a bit of statistics have been quoted and compared except the gender sex ratio and more particularly0-6 sex ratio.

    The 0-6 sex ratio for muslims across India was 950 while it was 925 for hindus,964 for christian and 976 for others. Just apply the muslim 0-6 sex ratio for hindu child births and you will rise by millions to hindu population over a decade who have been killed by the religious hindus.Even the 925 for hindus is courtesy pseudosecular dominated states,tribals and other real quotawallaahs and excluding them the fanatic sangh supporting block among hindus are the worst when it comes to killing girl children in womb.

    The other reason for low growth rate in comparison to muslims is the religious beleifs against wiidow remarriage,delayed age of marriage due to manglik and other superstitious beleifs.Its hard to see even a middle aged widow among muslims while young widows are in lakhs among hindus across the country.The census in 1881 reports low growth rate among hindus compared to muslims inspite of both having neither access to family planning methods or beleif in it due to presence of lakhs of child widows and millions of widows and separated women in hindus unlike muslims where it was rare to see a widow/separated women who stayed single.

    Can you refute this

  • Counter Plan

    1. Recruit the remaining Hindus from Bangladesh and Pakistan to increase our percentages within current day India.
    2. Seal the Bangladesh and Myanmar (Rohingya) borders so that no more Muslims can enter India.
    3. Actively seek converts from the Muslim and Christian populations to increase our own numbers.
    4. Globally propagate the Sanatana Dharma to help free the world of stultifying Islamic and Christian ideas.
    5. For those women okay with the idea, have extra Hindu children. This option is only for those females naturally inclined to want more children. Quality is just as important as quantity. For instance in Pakistan there is at most a handful of people of any value. And Pakistan itself is ripe for complete annihilation due to the very fact of their quantity. It’s all a matter of keeping them enclosed in a pressure cooker to kill themselves, without any spillage (or terrorist attacks) over to India.
    6. When the time is right, invade Pakistan and Bangladesh and take back what IS India from the depraved Islamic cult.

  • Dr. MS

    I have noticed to my dismay, after returning to India after nearly 30 years of overseas living, that real authentic accurate research has been politicized in every field. Not only are there poorly trained researchers, but lot of subjects get polarized, controversial and leads to passionate arguments, and are not researched with fairness, dispassion, ethics, healthy curiosity, detached analysis or self awareness and self disclosed feelings and emotions. Hence topics that are easily researched such as “minority growth, conversions, attitudes to immigration and immigrants, political positions, etc.” have become a taboo subject in India.

    An American colleague laughed when she said to me years ago. “In India they think asking questions on conversions or religion is disrespectful in research. In the US, because conversion is personal and an individual choice, we, as researchers are not afraid to ask questions on religion or conversion, and people are not afraid to share their view, positions and personal experiences. Steve Jobs was not uncomfortable talking about his Buddhism, or Black men converting to Islam in prisons (and the reasons why). In India every silly thing becomes a taboo. So people think even mentioning an argument with a husband to measure marital harmony or problem resolution in marriage is unacceptable…How silly can that be? Nothing can be fairly and openly researched in India…except for nutrition, literacy, age at marriage, contraception and possibly domestic violence. Everything else is a taboo. Strange society.”

    I am beginning to think she maybe right. Unless something gives. We need better research, more qualitative research, better researchers, good qualitative research trainers and better methodologists.

    US and Europe produce reliable valid accurate data even as projections for 2050 or 2060 on different demographic groups. Social services require such information. We don’t even have clear census data on single women in categories of never married, separated, divorced or widowed State by State. That is frightening.

  • Abyss

    Even if the government discloses this data, presstitutes would hound them for polarizing the society and the usual crap. I just hope that the government is spending this time to verify the numbers.

    On a different note, even if the data is disclosed, what can we potentially do with it. Any law to rein in the population would be met with a strong opposition from the usual suspects.

  • R Nanjappa

    . One can never understand the rationale behind the census circus if a democratic govt hesitates to share its results openly. That itself makes the motives suspect. On almost every issue the BJP govt is gradually adopting the UPA line (where it does not do something worse, like joining the J&K govt.). It is clear that it has fallen into the net of the bureaucrats , who have fattened themselves on loyalties to a family for decades. Morarji and Vajpayee were also done in by this blasted bureaucracy. Modi has already wasted 10 months.